Last week
Our picks over the last 7 days and what actually happened. Picks marked ● were saved before tip-off; the others are rebuilt using only games played before them. Sat 24 Oct → Sat 31 Oct.
Bet hit rate66.7%26 won of 39 bets
All games hit rate67.9%53 games predicted
Break-even odds1.50Average odds needed to not lose money on our bets
Brier score0.216Lower is better, 0.250 is a coin flip
Games
| Date | Matchup | Our pick | Confidence | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 30 Oct | IND @ MIA | MIA● | 81% | 125 – 145 | Won |
| Fri 30 Oct | HOU @ DAL | HOU● | 61% | 111 – 116 | Lost |
| Fri 30 Oct | CHI @ BOS | BOS● | 84% | 111 – 125 | Won |
| Fri 30 Oct | DET @ BKN | DET● | 84% | 110 – 94 | Won |
| Fri 30 Oct | NYK @ PHI | NYK● | 64% | 93 – 98 | Lost |
| Fri 30 Oct | ORL @ TOR | TOR● | 62% | 121 – 114 | Lost |
| Fri 30 Oct | CHA @ WAS | CHA● | 83% | 79 – 95 | Lost |
| Thu 29 Oct | MEM @ POR | POR● | 78% | 124 – 103 | Lost |
| Wed 28 Oct | OKC @ DAL | OKC● | 82% | 96 – 120 | Lost |
| Wed 28 Oct | SAS B2B @ UTA | SAS● | 82% | 117 – 111 | Won |
| Wed 28 Oct | NYK B2B @ CHI | NYK● | 79% | 133 – 127 | Won |
| Wed 28 Oct | HOU @ MIL | HOU● | 77% | 132 – 100 | Won |
| Wed 28 Oct | GSW @ MIN | MIN● | 76% | 119 – 114 | Lost |
| Wed 28 Oct | DEN @ NOP | DEN● | 69% | 104 – 91 | Won |
| Wed 28 Oct | ORL @ TOR | TOR● | 60% | 99 – 129 | Won |
| Wed 28 Oct | MIA @ ATL | ATL● | 67% | 129 – 117 | Lost |
| Wed 28 Oct | WAS @ CLE | CLE● | 85% | 111 – 121 | Won |
| Wed 28 Oct | PHI @ IND | PHI● | 70% | 114 – 109 | Won |
| Tue 27 Oct | POR @ LAL | LAL● | 64% | 136 – 129 | Lost |
| Tue 27 Oct | DET @ NYK | NYK● | 64% | 97 – 111 | Won |
| Tue 27 Oct | SAC @ SAS | SAS● | 89% | 103 – 130 | Won |
| Tue 27 Oct | BKN @ BOS B2B | BOS● | 83% | 124 – 125 | Won |
| Mon 26 Oct | GSW @ DEN | DEN● | 75% | 134 – 114 | Lost |
| Mon 26 Oct | PHX @ OKC B2B | OKC● | 75% | 114 – 125 | Won |
| Mon 26 Oct | CHI @ BOS | BOS● | 82% | 99 – 134 | Won |
| Mon 26 Oct | DAL @ MIA | MIA● | 66% | 113 – 109 | Lost |
| Mon 26 Oct | WAS @ CHA | CHA● | 84% | 103 – 110 | Won |
| Sun 25 Oct | DET @ PHI B2B | DET● | 62% | 106 – 93 | Won |
| Sun 25 Oct | ORL @ NYK | NYK● | 77% | 111 – 102 | Lost |
| Sun 25 Oct | TOR @ MIN | MIN● | 60% | 94 – 117 | Won |
| Sun 25 Oct | LAC @ OKC | OKC● | 77% | 101 – 108 | Won |
| Sun 25 Oct | LAL @ UTA | LAL● | 77% | 132 – 123 | Won |
| Sat 24 Oct | GSW B2B @ PHX | PHX● | 70% | 122 – 131 | Won |
| Sat 24 Oct | NOP B2B @ DEN | DEN● | 81% | 135 – 141 | Won |
| Sat 24 Oct | WAS B2B @ CHI B2B | CHI● | 66% | 124 – 120 | Lost |
| Sat 24 Oct | SAS B2B @ DAL B2B | SAS● | 80% | 122 – 106 | Won |
| Sat 24 Oct | BKN @ CLE | CLE● | 84% | 121 – 125 | Won |
| Sat 24 Oct | MIL B2B @ PHI | PHI● | 85% | 116 – 127 | Won |
| Sat 24 Oct | MIA B2B @ CHA B2B | CHA● | 64% | 110 – 115 | Won |